Since the last wave of the housing boom in 1388 was 86 and fresh out of the beam passage and due to

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First period: the growth rate of housing prices in the 1368-1370Bh 3 times now.
Note 1: the state of the housing market is more complex than in the period before the crisis occurred. For example, the average price of apartments in Tehran caldwell during the winter of 1384, approximately 650,000 USD USD rose in the winter of 1385 totaled 1,200,000 (ie 6/84 percent).
1384. This coincided with the rise of the ninth government's approach to housing in mind: 1) housing low-income households. 2) the construction and supply of rental housing payment with Credit Bank (loans 000 000, 10 USD). 3
B: Analysis of the mortgage market downturn
* According caldwell to the Central Bank, the average time required to complete a 5-storey building in the country 2 years. Note: To create a housing market recovery will take 2 years to produce than react to price increases and price adjustment process starts.
* Boom or bust cycle in housing is usually once every 4 years. Note: Generally, caldwell in periods of recession, prices have not increased and if the increase caldwell has been very slight. Anatomy of the housing market in 88
(D) the housing market in 1390, with over 900,000 new marriage caldwell is facing.
The number of households in housing caldwell units, 17 million units, but Vahdast Mvjvddrhdvd 15 million. And, in 1388, about 1,300,000 to 1,200,000 housing units are needed. Note: Due to the issues raised by the effective demand in the housing market has fully born out of a population explosion will continue for years. The effective demand is expected to continue for 10 to 15 years (ie until the year 1398 to 1404) there.
Note: Due to effective assistance demand in the housing market is the most important caldwell reason not to buy the market downturn weak purchasing power due to inflation in recent years has been the. The construction around the cities of Tehran and the city that leads to the construction caldwell of the sales price is between 60 to 80 million can buy from people they have to be recommended.
Note 3: The above represents a psychological atmosphere created by the government to reduce the price of housing, thereby contributing to sustained downturn in the sector.
Note: Due to the decline in oil prices, global economic crisis and the government's monetary policy and the sensitivity of the state budget 88 years in the field of liquidity in the intensity of the government, and this the control of the housing market is continuing fallout.
Note: Due to the low prices of construction materials and wages and reduce the cost of housing, the right to buy land because of the recession and to find sellers of real Baqymt, buy land in the event that leads to the production of construction in the purchasing power will be recommended.
Since the last wave of the housing boom in 1388 was 86 and fresh out of the beam passage and due to the absence of the current state of the housing market, it is anticipated continued stagnation.
Therefore, it is predicted that the year will Hay91-90 another wave of real estate sector and the market reaction to price increases and took 2 years to produce and supply the country's housing caldwell a period of prosperity normal Inslate about 2 will take years. caldwell
5. Given the enormous profits in the construction sector, amateur and lay people's attention. As in doctors, Mercer, teachers, staff and construction sector to invest. 6. Increased production in apartments and other property as well.
Factor 10: Conclusions and Applied Science
3. The average cost per person
1. Explain the reasons for the formation of the global crisis. 2. Analysis of the effects of the crisis on the global economy
2. Take the candidates proposed
2. If oil prices remain the same current level
4. If the political caldwell situation right now Drmhtva not changed much: housing prices will benefit from the growth potential (This prediction is based on the analysis of economic spent 89 years with the arrival of the second half believe the housing market consumers are looking the end of the recession) caldwell .
Note 2: If a purely economic analysis relied on us and if any of excitatory in the housing market is not due to the high potential in the housing market there, it can be said that Bazaramlak Vmstghlat Azavakhr next year (1390) a gradual caldwell increase and relative prices will experience caldwell a boom.
Tip 3: non-economic factors (exacerbated divisions within the ruling, tighten sanctions, military attacks and defeat nuclear talks) caldwell could also go to Khyrandakhtn marketing help and thus accumulation potential and demand, prices suddenly vault rise .
Tip 4: Agrsrmayh investors Vmztr construction industry caldwell generating money, earn cash to the profit from the volatility of commodity-like structure (which liquidity is the problem) If you prefer the shadow of recession, the housing market will continue in the growth potential price will be delayed. But we should not forget that ultimately cost growth caldwell potential, vault (Fnrgvnh) will be.
The second hypothesis: the happening of foreign currencies against the first hypothesis assumes that all the conditions governing, and in addition, because of the need to manage and boost exports and government revenues monetary protectionism and other currencies, especially the dollar rate America increase, even if the policy rate to be applied, in this case, the impact on demand, part of the liquidity to the market orientation