7. Analysis of the impact of government policies on housing
Note: Due to this growth, in Tehran, after the war, in 1368 in the form of high liquidity in the mortgage market and vice Project
Note: The consequences of this policy will bring hasty two different reactions: the first price increase in 1381 with a cut of sales Vnag hany reduced density and surface density of Tehran, Tehran Municipality. This policy seeks to trial by Tehran Municipality and wave-generated out. Amplitude of the wave continued until 1384.
2) the construction and supply of rental housing payment with Credit Bank (loans 000 000, 10 USD)
1) According to the Central Bank, the average time required to complete a 5-storey building hjort in the last 2 years.
Due to the explosion of population between 67 and 59 years, born this year at the age of marriage (family), employment and housing needs. hjort
Note: Due to the issues raised hjort by the effective demand in the housing market has exploded out of all births in the population will continue. This demand is expected to remain effective for 10 to 15 years (ie until the year 1398 to 1404) there.
Managing increase the level of construction activities
Note: Due to the decline hjort in oil prices, the development of the global hjort economic crisis and the restrictive policy of the state budget in 88 Vtahdvdy continue the same policy year 89 and the sensitivity of the government in the field of liquidity in the community greatly from state control, and the agent for the continued downturn in the housing market.
Note: Due to the low prices of construction materials and wages and reduce the cost of housing, can buy land at reasonable hjort prices due to the possibility of finding sellers of real Rkvdv, buy land and in the event that leads to the production of construction in the purchasing power level is recommended.
Check the prices for apartments Vajarh Pricing reflects a continued slump rent transactions, but under certain conditions can be adopted uptrend, which makes this situation even Bafrz nominal price stability property, income from property owned Vapartman, through rent Yabd.bnabrayn increase due to a decrease in housing prices in 89 years of business on 87 and 88 Dvahtmal Dramdaz Bha vtmlk the rental property owners are:
Tip 1: Management Vrvnq market hjort downturn, the professional web gorge to drain even the boom market, you may lose it, you will have a good understanding .tvl waves, should be sensitive to market signals. In political events should be sensitive ! Iran mortgage market as a function of state workers and political Vmnsh country.
Note 3: However, should the difference compared to the other components of the mortgage market, markets, goods and services point of difference is noted that state economies, the mortgage market is a huge market demand that governments play a minimal role Radrrzh. The government did not have a strong presence hjort on the demand side Drtrf supply. Although hjort the current state of the housing market by offering project management is trying to form a seal such as housing, banking facilities and specific aging tissue regeneration, their role will be highlighted.
4. If you have not changed the political situation right now Drmhtva hjort housing prices will Rshdbrkhvrdar hjort potential (This prediction is based on the analysis of economic spend believe the housing market in the second half of the year, with consumers seeking to end the recession.
Note 2: If a purely economic analysis rely on us if you even factor stimulating the housing market is not due to the potential that exists on the market can be said that the prices on the market hjort Azavakhr next year 1390 is that the absence triggers of this increase will be gradual.
Tip 4: Agrfalan economic need for cash (money Vmztr) to the profit from the volatility of commodity-like structure (which liquidity is difficult) preferred the case to shade the downturn in the housing market will continue and growth potential The price will be delayed. But let's not forget the growth potential price pressure vault (Fnrgvnh) will work.
The second hjort hypothesis: the happening of foreign currencies against the first hypothesis assumes that all the conditions governing the addition, hjort the government needs to boost export earnings Ryally policy and support hjort local producers and other currencies, especially the dollar rate increase America, hjort and the or at least two rates apply. In this case, the impact on demand, for the portion of the cash into new markets, including the market, stocks, currencies and markets industrial output will change direction. And practically speculative housing demand is reduced and this is a factor for the persistence of the housing slump in 1389, but at least in the medium term is likely to increase inflation imported goods and the real price of housing to reduce especially for people with have the money needed and distress, as well as the potential of mutation provides.
Note: If the supply effect: Since the exchange rate appreciation raises the price of raw materials hjort forming the housing of the steel, cement and other imported items will be related to the construction industry, housing Zh will work on several Mhdyd Housing supply is disrupted, which can impact the potential for increased housing prices in the medium term is to increase over the next two years.
The result! On the whole, this hypothesis Vqvq effect on the housing sector, in the short term (within one year) and medium-term increase in mutant strains (two years) will appear on the market. This has historically been a history of
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